AI Match Insights

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Ligue 1 May 03, 2025

Strasbourg

Home
VS
15:00

Paris Saint Germain

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Strasbourg Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Paris Saint Germain Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.02 - 1.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.3
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Strasbourg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Strasbourg Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Strasbourg vs St Etienne 3-1
Apr 19 Strasbourg vs Monaco 0-0
Apr 12 Strasbourg vs Nice 2-2
Apr 06 Strasbourg vs Reims 0-1
Mar 28 Strasbourg vs Lyon 4-2
Mar 16 Strasbourg vs Toulouse 2-1
Mar 09 Strasbourg vs Nantes 0-1
Mar 02 Strasbourg vs Auxerre 0-1
Feb 23 Strasbourg vs Stade Breā€¦ 0-0
Feb 23 Strasbourg vs Brest 0-0
Paris Saint Germain Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 29 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Arsenal 0-1
Apr 25 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Nice 1-3
Apr 22 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Nantes 1-1
Apr 19 Paris Saiā€¦ vs LE Havre ā€¦ 2-1
Apr 15 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Aston Vilā€¦ 3-2
Apr 09 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Aston Vilā€¦ 3-1
Apr 01 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Dunkerque 2-4
Mar 16 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Marseille 3-1
Mar 11 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Liverpool 0-1
Mar 08 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Rennes FC 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Strasbourg in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 19, 2024 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 2 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Feb 02, 2024 Strasbourg 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Oct 21, 2023 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 0 Strasbourg Ligue 1
May 27, 2023 Strasbourg 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Dec 28, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Apr 29, 2022 Strasbourg 3 - 3 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Aug 14, 2021 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 2 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Apr 10, 2021 Strasbourg 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Strasbourg Power 39
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Strasbourg Position

-6

Position Gap

1

Paris Saint Germain Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.