Ligue 2 · May 14, 2025 18:30
Dunkerque
PWR 41
Guingamp
PWR 35
Dunkerque
PWR 41
1 - 0
FT
Guingamp
PWR 35
29% H
28% D
43% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
2-2 (4%)
3-0 (4%)
3-3 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense67
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.1
Attack47
Defense53
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.6
Dunkerque Form
DDLLW
STABLE
Guingamp Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.573%
BTTS80%
Under 2.527%
Dunkerque Goals
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Guingamp Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.70
Dunkerquevs
1.71
GuingampDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings56%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Dunkerque+3
Gap#8
Guingamp
WR 42% 34 pts
WR 36% 33 pts
Dunkerque
8.0%
| May 10 | Dunkerq… v Red Star | 1-1 |
| May 02 | Dunkerq… v Laval | 0-0 |
| Apr 25 | Dunkerq… v Estac T… | 1-0 |
| Apr 25 | Dunkerq… v Troyes | 1-0 |
| Apr 18 | Dunkerq… v Grenoble | 2-0 |
| Apr 11 | Dunkerq… v Amiens | 1-0 |
| Apr 07 | Dunkerq… v Guingamp | 3-1 |
| Apr 01 | Dunkerq… v Paris S… | 2-4 |
| Mar 28 | Dunkerq… v Bastia | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Dunkerq… v Metz | 2-3 |
Guingamp
18.0%
| May 10 | Guingamp v Pau FC | 1-3 |
| May 07 | Guingamp v Saint-É… | 3-2 |
| May 02 | Guingamp v Bastia | 2-2 |
| Apr 25 | Guingamp v Martigu… | 2-1 |
| Apr 25 | Guingamp v Martigu… | 2-1 |
| Apr 23 | Guingamp v Stade d… | 1-0 |
| Apr 18 | Guingamp v Amiens | 3-2 |
| Apr 12 | Guingamp v Lorient | 1-2 |
| Apr 12 | Guingamp v Montpel… | 3-1 |
| Apr 07 | Guingamp v Dunkerq… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Apr 07, 2025 | Dunkerque | 3-1 | Guingamp |
| Jan 04, 2025 | Guingamp | 1-1 | Dunkerque |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Dunkerque | 0-1 | Guingamp |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Dunkerque | 0-1 | Guingamp |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Guingamp | 0-1 | Dunkerque |
| May 07, 2022 | Dunkerque | 1-3 | Guingamp |
| Dec 21, 2021 | Guingamp | 2-1 | Dunkerque |
| Feb 05, 2021 | Guingamp | 0-0 | Dunkerque |
| Oct 03, 2020 | Dunkerque | 1-0 | Guingamp |
Key Factors
Guingamp in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.