AI Match Insights

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Ligue 2 May 04, 2024

Auxerre

Home
VS
13:00

Paris FC

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Auxerre Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Paris FC Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 3.19 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Auxerre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Paris FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 1-0 (11%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Auxerre Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 29 Auxerre vs Dunkerque 1-3
Apr 29 Auxerre vs Dunkerque 1-3
Apr 23 Auxerre vs Laval 4-0
Apr 23 Auxerre vs Laval 4-0
Apr 20 Auxerre vs Rodez 2-0
Apr 13 Auxerre vs Quevilly … 4-3
Apr 08 Auxerre vs Troyes 2-0
Apr 01 Auxerre vs Ajaccio 0-1
Mar 16 Auxerre vs Caen 2-1
Mar 09 Auxerre vs St Etienne 1-0
Paris FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 01 Paris FC vs Lokomotiv… 1-0
Apr 28 Paris FC vs Pafos FC 1-1
Apr 27 Paris FC vs Angers 3-1
Apr 27 Paris FC vs LE Havre … 3-3
Apr 27 Paris FC vs Angers 3-1
Apr 24 Paris FC vs Lorient 1-4
Apr 23 Paris FC vs Rodez 1-0
Apr 23 Paris FC vs Rodez 1-0
Apr 22 Paris FC vs Rustavi 0-1
Apr 21 Paris FC vs Lyon 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Auxerre in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 07, 2023 Paris FC 0 - 2 Auxerre Ligue 2
Feb 01, 2022 Auxerre 1 - 2 Paris FC Ligue 2
Aug 16, 2021 Paris FC 1 - 1 Auxerre Ligue 2
Mar 13, 2021 Auxerre 0 - 0 Paris FC Ligue 2
Nov 21, 2020 Paris FC 0 - 3 Auxerre Ligue 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Auxerre to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Auxerre Power 27
Paris FC Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.