AI Match Insights

Feminine Division 1 May 16, 2025

Lyon Women

Home
VS
19:00

Paris Saint-Germain Women

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Lyon Women Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Paris Saint-Germain Women Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 4.50 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.2
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lyon Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Lyon Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Lyon Women vs Dijon Wom… 4-1
May 07 Lyon Women vs Le Havre … 2-0
Apr 23 Lyon Women vs Nantes Wo… 0-2
Apr 12 Lyon Women vs Paris FC … 2-2
Mar 30 Lyon Women vs FC Fleury… 4-0
Mar 22 Lyon Women vs Saint-Éti… 0-5
Mar 14 Lyon Women vs Stade de … 8-1
Mar 01 Lyon Women vs Strasbour… 0-4
Feb 15 Lyon Women vs Guingamp 7-0
Jan 31 Lyon Women vs Montpelli… 1-4
Paris Saint-Germain Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 Paris Sai… vs Paris FC … 3-0
May 07 Paris Sai… vs Nantes Wo… 1-0
Apr 23 Paris Sai… vs Le Havre … 2-2
Apr 11 Paris Sai… vs Stade de … 6-0
Mar 29 Paris Sai… vs Saint-Éti… 6-0
Mar 21 Paris Sai… vs Guingamp 2-6
Mar 15 Paris Sai… vs Paris FC … 0-0
Mar 01 Paris Sai… vs Dijon Wom… 0-1
Feb 15 Paris Sai… vs Montpelli… 4-1
Jan 18 Paris Sai… vs Lyon Women 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lyon Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Paris Saint-Germain Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 18, 2025 Paris Saint-Germain… 0 - 2 Lyon Women Feminine Divis…
Nov 03, 2024 Lyon Women 1 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain… Feminine Divis…
May 17, 2024 Lyon Women 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain… Feminine Divis…
Apr 28, 2024 Paris Saint-Germain… 1 - 2 Lyon Women UEFA Champions…
Apr 20, 2024 Lyon Women 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain… UEFA Champions…
Feb 11, 2024 Lyon Women 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain… Feminine Divis…
Oct 01, 2023 Paris Saint-Germain… 0 - 1 Lyon Women Feminine Divis…
May 21, 2023 Paris Saint-Germain… 0 - 1 Lyon Women Feminine Divis…
Final Verdict

PRO: Lyon Women to win (69% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 69% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lyon Women Power 66
Paris Saint-Germain Women Power 50
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Lyon Women Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Paris Saint-Germain Women Position

Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 71%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.