AI Match Insights

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Primeira Liga May 10, 2025

Benfica

Home
VS
17:00

Sporting CP

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Benfica Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Sporting CP Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 1.98 - 1.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.1
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Benfica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Sporting CP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Benfica Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Benfica vs Felgueira… 3-3
May 03 Benfica vs Estoril 1-2
May 02 Benfica vs Panevėžys 1-3
Apr 30 Benfica vs Mafra 5-0
Apr 27 Benfica vs AVS 6-0
Apr 26 Benfica vs Tauras 1-0
Apr 23 Benfica vs Trofense 4-0
Apr 19 Benfica vs Guimaraes 0-3
Apr 18 Benfica vs Neptūną K… 3-0
Apr 18 Benfica vs União de … 1-3
Sporting CP Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Sporting … vs GIL Vicen… 2-1
Apr 27 Sporting … vs Boavista 0-5
Apr 22 Sporting … vs Rio Ave FC 1-2
Apr 18 Sporting … vs Moreirense 3-1
Apr 12 Sporting … vs Santa Cla… 0-1
Apr 03 Sporting … vs Rio Ave FC 2-0
Mar 29 Sporting … vs Estrela d… 0-3
Mar 09 Sporting … vs Casa Pia … 1-3
Feb 27 Sporting … vs GIL Vicen… 0-1
Feb 23 Sporting … vs AVS 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Sporting CP in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2025 Sporting CP 1 - 1 Benfica Taça da Liga
Dec 29, 2024 Sporting CP 1 - 0 Benfica Primeira Liga
Apr 06, 2024 Sporting CP 2 - 1 Benfica Primeira Liga
Apr 02, 2024 Benfica 2 - 2 Sporting CP Taça de Portug…
Feb 29, 2024 Sporting CP 2 - 1 Benfica Taça de Portug…
Nov 12, 2023 Benfica 2 - 1 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
May 21, 2023 Sporting CP 2 - 2 Benfica Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Benfica to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Benfica Power 0
Sporting CP Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Benfica Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Sporting CP Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 80%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.