AI Match Insights

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Primeira Liga Apr 28, 2024

FC Porto

Home
VS
19:30

Sporting CP

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
FC Porto Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Sporting CP Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 38%
Standings 54%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 1.18 - 2.03
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Porto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
Sporting CP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 0-2 (8%) 0-1 (8%) 1-3 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
FC Porto Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 25 FC Porto vs Mura 0-1
Apr 24 FC Porto vs AVS 0-2
Apr 21 FC Porto vs Casa Pia … 1-2
Apr 21 FC Porto vs Casa Pia … 1-2
Apr 17 FC Porto vs Guimaraes 3-1
Apr 17 FC Porto vs Mura 1-3
Apr 14 FC Porto vs Moreirense 0-1
Apr 13 FC Porto vs Famalicao 2-2
Apr 13 FC Porto vs Famalicao 2-2
Apr 07 FC Porto vs Guimaraes 1-2
Sporting CP Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Sporting … vs Guimaraes 3-0
Apr 16 Sporting … vs Famalicao 0-1
Apr 12 Sporting … vs GIL Vicen… 0-4
Apr 06 Sporting … vs Benfica 2-1
Apr 02 Sporting … vs Benfica 2-2
Mar 29 Sporting … vs Estrela d… 1-2
Mar 14 Sporting … vs Atalanta 2-1
Mar 10 Sporting … vs Arouca 0-3
Mar 06 Sporting … vs Atalanta 1-1
Feb 29 Sporting … vs Benfica 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Porto in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Sporting CP in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Porto to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Porto Power 0
Sporting CP Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

FC Porto Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Sporting CP Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 80%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.