Primeira Liga · Apr 27, 2024 17:00
Benfica
PWR 35
SC Braga
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
SC Braga
PWR 35
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%)
2-0 (19%)
0-0 (18%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Benfica Form
WWLLW
STABLE
SC Braga Form
WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.524%
BTTS18%
Under 2.576%
Benfica Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4
4%
SC Braga Goals
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Benficavs
0.27
SC BragaDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings57%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Benfica+2
Gap#5
SC Braga
WR 60% 46 pts
WR 46% 36 pts
Benfica
12.0%
| Apr 22 | Benfica v Farense | 1-3 |
| Apr 22 | Benfica v Farense | 1-3 |
| Apr 22 | Benfica v Nacional | 3-1 |
| Apr 18 | Benfica v Marseilā¦ | 1-0 |
| Apr 14 | Benfica v Moreireā¦ | 3-0 |
| Apr 14 | Benfica v Sportinā¦ | 3-1 |
| Apr 14 | Benfica v Moreireā¦ | 3-0 |
| Apr 11 | Benfica v Marseilā¦ | 2-1 |
| Apr 07 | Benfica v Moreireā¦ | 3-1 |
| Apr 06 | Benfica v Sp Lisbā¦ | 2-1 |
SC Braga
20.0%
| Apr 20 | SC Braga v Vizela | 2-1 |
| Apr 20 | SC Braga v Vizela | 2-1 |
| Apr 13 | SC Braga v Estoril | 0-1 |
| Apr 13 | SC Braga v Estoril | 0-1 |
| Apr 13 | SC Braga v Varzim | 2-1 |
| Apr 06 | SC Braga v Arouca | 0-3 |
| Apr 01 | SC Braga v Portimoā¦ | 3-5 |
| Mar 16 | SC Braga v GIL Vicā¦ | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | SC Braga v Rio Aveā¦ | 0-0 |
| Mar 09 | SC Braga v Rio Aveā¦ | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jan 10, 2024 | Benfica | 3-2 | SC Braga |
| Dec 17, 2023 | SC Braga | 0-1 | Benfica |
| Dec 17, 2023 | SC Braga | 0-1 | Benfica |
| May 06, 2023 | Benfica | 1-0 | SC Braga |
| Feb 09, 2023 | SC Braga | 1-1 | Benfica |
| Dec 30, 2022 | SC Braga | 3-0 | Benfica |
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
SC Braga in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.