Primeira Liga · Apr 20, 2024 14:30
Moreirense
PWR 35
GIL Vicente
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
GIL Vicente
PWR 35
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Moreirense to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%)
1-0 (19%)
3-0 (16%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Moreirense Form
DLLDW
STABLE
GIL Vicente Form
LLLLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.542%
BTTS16%
Under 2.558%
Moreirense Goals
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
GIL Vicente Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Moreirensevs
0.20
GIL VicenteDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Moreirense-3
Gap#4
GIL Vicente
WR 60% 30 pts
WR 36% 37 pts
Moreirense
8.0%
| Apr 19 | Moreire… v Leixões… | 1-1 |
| Apr 14 | Moreire… v Benfica | 3-0 |
| Apr 14 | Moreire… v Benfica | 3-0 |
| Apr 14 | Moreire… v Leixões… | 1-1 |
| Apr 14 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 0-1 |
| Apr 07 | Moreire… v MarĂtimo | 0-0 |
| Apr 07 | Moreire… v Estrela… | 2-2 |
| Apr 07 | Moreire… v Estrela… | 2-2 |
| Apr 07 | Moreire… v Benfica | 3-1 |
| Mar 30 | Moreire… v Guimara… | 1-0 |
GIL Vicente
0.0%
| Apr 12 | GIL Vic… v Sp Lisb… | 0-4 |
| Apr 12 | GIL Vic… v Sportin… | 0-4 |
| Apr 06 | GIL Vic… v Rio Ave… | 3-0 |
| Apr 06 | GIL Vic… v Rio Ave… | 3-0 |
| Mar 29 | GIL Vic… v Famalic… | 1-2 |
| Mar 29 | GIL Vic… v Famalic… | 1-2 |
| Mar 16 | GIL Vic… v SC Braga | 2-1 |
| Mar 11 | GIL Vic… v Chaves | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | GIL Vic… v Casa Pi… | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | GIL Vic… v Casa Pi… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Dec 11, 2023 | GIL Vicente | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Dec 11, 2023 | GIL Vicente | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Apr 08, 2022 | GIL Vicente | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Moreirense | 2-2 | GIL Vicente |
| Apr 11, 2021 | GIL Vicente | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Dec 05, 2020 | Moreirense | 1-1 | GIL Vicente |
Key Factors
GIL Vicente struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.