AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Portugal 2 May 17, 2025

FC Porto

Home
VS
10:00

Benfica

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
FC Porto Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Benfica Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.95 - 2.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 2.3
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Porto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Benfica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 2-3 (5%) 3-3 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Under 2.5 Goals 21%
FC Porto Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 FC Porto vs CSKA Mosc… 1-2
May 11 FC Porto vs Boavista 1-2
May 11 FC Porto vs Rubin 1-0
May 11 FC Porto vs Spartak M… 2-0
May 11 FC Porto vs Portimone… 0-3
May 04 FC Porto vs Khimki 1-1
May 03 FC Porto vs Zvezda Pe… 0-0
May 03 FC Porto vs Vizela 0-1
May 02 FC Porto vs Moreirense 3-1
Apr 30 FC Porto vs Lokomotiv… 0-2
Benfica Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 16 Benfica vs Ekranas P… 0-1
May 11 Benfica vs Penafiel … 1-1
May 10 Benfica vs Atmosfera 2-4
May 10 Benfica vs Sporting … 1-1
May 10 Benfica vs Sp Lisbon 1-1
May 04 Benfica vs Felgueira… 3-3
May 03 Benfica vs Estoril 1-2
May 02 Benfica vs PanevÄ—Ĺľys 1-3
Apr 30 Benfica vs Mafra 5-0
Apr 27 Benfica vs AVS 6-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Porto in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 06, 2025 FC Porto 1 - 4 Benfica Primeira Liga
Jan 06, 2025 Benfica 2 - 1 FC Porto Liga Portugal 2
Nov 10, 2024 Benfica 4 - 1 FC Porto Pro League
Nov 10, 2024 Benfica 4 - 1 FC Porto Primeira Liga
May 17, 2024 Benfica 5 - 2 FC Porto Liga Portugal 2
Mar 03, 2024 FC Porto 5 - 0 Benfica Primeira Liga
Mar 03, 2024 FC Porto 5 - 0 Benfica Pro League
Jan 14, 2024 FC Porto 0 - 3 Benfica Liga Portugal 2
Sep 29, 2023 Benfica 1 - 0 FC Porto Primeira Liga
Aug 09, 2023 Benfica 2 - 0 FC Porto Super Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Porto to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Porto Power 0
Benfica Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.