Liga Portugal 2 · May 14, 2025 19:15
Leixões SC
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 45
Leixões SC
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Moreirense
PWR 45
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (6%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (3%)
1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 9% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 9%, pos gap 3
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack46
Defense51
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Leixões SC Form
LWWLD
STABLE
Moreirense Form
DWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS43%
Under 2.542%
Leixões SC Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Moreirense Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Leixões SCvs
0.57
MoreirenseDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Leixões SC-3
Gap#1
Moreirense
WR 28% 88 pts
WR 37% 193 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leixões SC | 74 | 21 | 25 | 28 | 79 | 101 | 88 |
| Moreirense | 139 | 52 | 37 | 50 | 182 | 194 | 193 |
Leixões SC
10.0%
| May 11 | Leixões… v Moreire… | 3-2 |
| May 04 | Leixões… v Mafra | 1-2 |
| Apr 27 | Leixões… v Penafie… | 3-1 |
| Apr 18 | Leixões… v Felguei… | 4-0 |
| Apr 05 | Leixões… v MarĂtimo | 1-1 |
| Mar 16 | Leixões… v FC Porto | 0-1 |
| Mar 02 | Leixões… v Portimo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Leixões… v Pacos F… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Leixões… v Benfica | 4-0 |
| Jan 12 | Leixões… v Moreire… | 1-1 |
Moreirense
16.0%
| May 11 | Moreire… v Estoril | 2-2 |
| May 11 | Moreire… v Leixões… | 3-2 |
| May 10 | Moreire… v MarĂtimo | 1-1 |
| May 09 | Moreire… v Mafra | 2-1 |
| May 05 | Moreire… v Penafie… | 0-1 |
| May 04 | Moreire… v MarĂtimo | 1-1 |
| May 02 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 3-1 |
| May 02 | Moreire… v União d… | 5-0 |
| Apr 27 | Moreire… v Nacional | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 11, 2025 | Moreirense | 3-2 | Leixões SC |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Leixões SC | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Jan 04, 2025 | Moreirense | 1-0 | Leixões SC |
| May 19, 2024 | Moreirense | 1-3 | Leixões SC |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Moreirense | 1-1 | Leixões SC |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Leixões SC | 1-1 | Moreirense |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Leixões SC | 0-0 | Moreirense |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Moreirense | 0-0 | Leixões SC |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Leixões SC | 0-0 | Moreirense |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Leixões SC | 0-1 | Moreirense |
Key Factors
Moreirense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.