Taça de Portugal · Feb 26, 2025 20:45
Benfica
PWR 81
SC Braga
PWR 71
Benfica
PWR 81
1 - 0
FT
SC Braga
PWR 71
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Benfica to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack88
Defense79
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G0.6
Attack85
Defense62
Goals/G2.4
Conc/G1.1
Benfica Form
WDLWW
STABLE
SC Braga Form
WDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS52%
Under 2.543%
Benfica Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
SC Braga Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Benficavs
0.88
SC BragaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Benfica+2
Gap#4
SC Braga
WR 78% 44 pts
WR 67% 25 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 44 |
| SC Braga | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 25 |
Benfica
14.0%
| Feb 22 | Benfica v Boavista | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Benfica v Monaco | 3-3 |
| Feb 16 | Benfica v Moreire… | 3-2 |
| Feb 15 | Benfica v Santa C… | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | Benfica v Monaco | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Benfica v Moreire… | 3-2 |
| Feb 02 | Benfica v Estrela… | 2-3 |
| Feb 01 | Benfica v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Benfica v Juventus | 0-2 |
| Jan 25 | Benfica v Casa Pi… | 3-1 |
SC Braga
16.0%
| Feb 21 | SC Braga v Nacional | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | SC Braga v Guimara… | 0-0 |
| Feb 09 | SC Braga v GIL Vic… | 2-0 |
| Feb 03 | SC Braga v Moreire… | 1-2 |
| Jan 26 | SC Braga v Sanjoan… | 2-2 |
| Jan 26 | SC Braga v Boavista | 3-0 |
| Jan 19 | SC Braga v Estrela… | 0-1 |
| Jan 15 | SC Braga v Lusitan… | 2-1 |
| Jan 12 | SC Braga v Amarante | 1-1 |
| Jan 08 | SC Braga v Benfica | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 08, 2025 | Benfica | 3-0 | SC Braga |
| Jan 04, 2025 | Benfica | 1-2 | SC Braga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Benfica | 3-1 | SC Braga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Benfica | 3-1 | SC Braga |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Benfica | 3-2 | SC Braga |
| Dec 17, 2023 | SC Braga | 0-1 | Benfica |
| Dec 17, 2023 | SC Braga | 0-1 | Benfica |
| May 06, 2023 | Benfica | 1-0 | SC Braga |
| Feb 09, 2023 | SC Braga | 1-1 | Benfica |
| Dec 30, 2022 | SC Braga | 3-0 | Benfica |
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
SC Braga in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.