Taça de Portugal · Apr 02, 2024 19:45
Benfica
PWR 81
Sporting CP
PWR 77
Benfica
PWR 81
2 - 2
FT
Sporting CP
PWR 77
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Benfica to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1-2 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack88
Defense79
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G0.6
Attack88
Defense63
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G1.1
Benfica Form
DWWWW
STABLE
Sporting CP Form
WLWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS64%
Under 2.538%
Benfica Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Sporting CP Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Benficavs
1.47
Sporting CPDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum63%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Benfica+1
Gap#3
Sporting CP
WR 78% 44 pts
WR 81% 40 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 44 |
| Sporting CP | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 40 |
Benfica
18.0%
| Apr 01 | Benfica v Académi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | Benfica v Chaves | 1-0 |
| Mar 17 | Benfica v Casa Pi… | 0-1 |
| Mar 17 | Benfica v Casa Pi… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Benfica v Rangers… | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Benfica v Estoril | 3-1 |
| Mar 10 | Benfica v Estoril | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Benfica v Rangers… | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | Benfica v FC Porto | 5-0 |
| Mar 03 | Benfica v FC Porto | 5-0 |
Sporting CP
14.0%
| Mar 29 | Sportin… v Estrela… | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Sportin… v Atalanta | 2-1 |
| Mar 10 | Sportin… v Arouca | 0-3 |
| Mar 06 | Sportin… v Atalanta | 1-1 |
| Feb 29 | Sportin… v Benfica | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Sportin… v Rio Ave… | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | Sportin… v BSC You… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Sportin… v BSC You… | 1-3 |
| Feb 07 | Sportin… v União d… | 0-3 |
| Jan 29 | Sportin… v Casa Pi… | 8-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 29, 2024 | Sporting CP | 2-1 | Benfica |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Benfica | 2-1 | Sporting CP |
| May 21, 2023 | Sporting CP | 2-2 | Benfica |
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (4W in last 5)
Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.