Taça de Portugal · Feb 29, 2024 20:45

Sporting CP
PWR 77
2 - 1
FT

Benfica
PWR 81
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Sporting CP to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack88
Defense63
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G1.1
Attack88
Defense79
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G0.6
Sporting CP Form DDWWW
STABLE
Benfica Form WDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS18%
Under 2.543%
Sporting CP Goals
0
2%
1
6%
2
13%
3
19%
4
19%
Benfica Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.20
Sporting CP
vs
0.20
Benfica
Decision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#3
Sporting CP
-1
Gap
#2
Benfica
WR 81% 40 pts WR 78% 44 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Sporting CP161312401740
Benfica181422451144
Sporting CP 16.0%
Feb 25 Sportin… v Rio Ave… 3-3
Feb 22 Sportin… v BSC You… 1-1
Feb 15 Sportin… v BSC You… 1-3
Feb 07 Sportin… v União d… 0-3
Jan 29 Sportin… v Casa Pi… 8-0
Jan 23 Sportin… v SC Braga 1-0
Jan 09 Sportin… v Tondela 4-0
Dec 23 Sportin… v Tondela 1-2
Dec 18 Sportin… v FC Porto 2-0
Dec 14 Sportin… v Sturm G… 3-0
Benfica 16.0%
Feb 25 Benfica v Portimo… 4-0
Feb 22 Benfica v Toulouse 0-0
Feb 18 Benfica v Vizela 6-1
Feb 15 Benfica v Toulouse 2-1
Feb 11 Benfica v Guimara… 2-2
Feb 10 Benfica v Leixões… 1-1
Feb 08 Benfica v Vizela 1-2
Feb 04 Benfica v MarĂ­timo 3-1
Feb 04 Benfica v GIL Vic… 3-0
Jan 31 Benfica v Barcelo… 4-4
Head-to-Head (2)
Nov 12, 2023 Benfica 2-1 Sporting CP
May 21, 2023 Sporting CP 2-2 Benfica
Key Factors
Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5)
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.