TaƧa de Portugal · Nov 25, 2023 15:00

Nacional
PWR 45
0 - 0
FT

Casa Pia AC
PWR 57
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (17%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)āš ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityšŸ’” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense53
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.3
Attack60
Defense65
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Nacional Form WDLWL
STABLE
Casa Pia AC Form LWDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.517%
BTTS15%
Under 2.583%
Nacional Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Casa Pia AC Goals
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Nacional
vs
0.24
Casa Pia AC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#21
Nacional
-6
Gap
#15
Casa Pia AC
WR 33% 8 pts WR 43% 10 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Nacional6222888
Casa Pia AC731312710
Nacional 10.0%
Nov 19 Nacional v AVS 0-1
Nov 04 Nacional v Santa C… 1-1
Sep 28 Nacional v Casa Pi… 2-1
Feb 09 Nacional v Casa Pi… 2-5
Jan 29 Nacional v Tondela 1-0
Nov 27 Nacional v GIL Vic… 2-0
Nov 09 Nacional v Tondela 1-0
Aug 06 Nacional v Tondela 0-1
Jul 31 Nacional v Santa C… 1-2
Apr 10 Nacional v Rio Ave… 2-0
Casa Pia AC 8.0%
Oct 02 Casa Pi… v GIL Vic… 2-0
Sep 28 Casa Pi… v Nacional 2-1
Sep 23 Casa Pi… v Guimara… 0-0
Sep 02 Casa Pi… v Rio Ave… 1-1
Aug 18 Casa Pi… v Sportin… 1-2
May 27 Casa Pi… v GIL Vic… 1-0
May 14 Casa Pi… v FC Porto 2-1
Apr 16 Casa Pi… v Rio Ave… 1-1
Apr 09 Casa Pi… v Sportin… 3-4
Feb 19 Casa Pi… v Guimara… 0-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Sep 28, 2023 Casa Pia AC 2-1 Nacional
Feb 09, 2023 Casa Pia AC 2-5 Nacional
Feb 19, 2022 Casa Pia AC 1-0 Nacional
Sep 19, 2021 Nacional 1-2 Casa Pia AC
Nov 25, 2020 Casa Pia AC 2-3 Nacional
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.