AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Taça da Liga Jan 11, 2025

Sporting CP

Home
VS
19:45

Benfica

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Sporting CP Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Benfica Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.77 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.3
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting CP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Benfica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Sporting CP Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 07 Sporting … vs FC Porto 1-0
Jan 03 Sporting … vs Guimaraes 4-4
Dec 29 Sporting … vs Benfica 1-0
Dec 22 Sporting … vs GIL Vicen… 0-0
Dec 18 Sporting … vs Santa Cla… 2-1
Dec 10 Sporting … vs Cercle Br… 2-1
Nov 30 Sporting … vs Santa Cla… 0-1
Nov 22 Sporting … vs Amarante 6-0
Nov 01 Sporting … vs Estrela d… 5-1
Oct 29 Sporting … vs Nacional 3-1
Benfica Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 08 Benfica vs SC Braga 3-0
Jan 06 Benfica vs FC Porto 2-1
Jan 04 Benfica vs SC Braga 1-2
Dec 29 Benfica vs Sp Lisbon 1-0
Dec 29 Benfica vs Sporting … 1-0
Dec 23 Benfica vs Estoril 3-0
Dec 23 Benfica vs Estoril 3-0
Dec 19 Benfica vs Nacional 0-2
Dec 19 Benfica vs Nacional 0-2
Dec 15 Benfica vs AVS 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Benfica struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 29, 2024 Sporting CP 1 - 0 Benfica Primeira Liga
Apr 06, 2024 Sporting CP 2 - 1 Benfica Primeira Liga
Apr 02, 2024 Benfica 2 - 2 Sporting CP Taça de Portug…
Feb 29, 2024 Sporting CP 2 - 1 Benfica Taça de Portug…
Nov 12, 2023 Benfica 2 - 1 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
May 21, 2023 Sporting CP 2 - 2 Benfica Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sporting CP to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting CP Power 0
Benfica Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.