Taça da Liga · Jan 08, 2025 19:45
Benfica
PWR 67
SC Braga
PWR 73
Benfica
PWR 67
3 - 0
FT
SC Braga
PWR 73
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Benfica to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%)
0-0 (17%)
2-0 (16%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (7%)
0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack78
Defense65
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G1.0
Attack74
Defense69
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G0.9
Benfica Form
WLLLW
STABLE
SC Braga Form
LWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS25%
Under 2.574%
Benfica Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
SC Braga Goals
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Benficavs
0.40
SC BragaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Benfica-2
Gap#1
SC Braga
WR 56% 18 pts
WR 78% 22 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 18 |
| SC Braga | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 22 |
Benfica
8.0%
| Jan 06 | Benfica v FC Porto | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Benfica v SC Braga | 1-2 |
| Dec 29 | Benfica v Sp Lisb… | 1-0 |
| Dec 29 | Benfica v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Dec 23 | Benfica v Estoril | 3-0 |
| Dec 23 | Benfica v Estoril | 3-0 |
| Dec 19 | Benfica v Nacional | 0-2 |
| Dec 19 | Benfica v Nacional | 0-2 |
| Dec 15 | Benfica v AVS | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | Benfica v Guimara… | 1-0 |
SC Braga
12.0%
| Jan 05 | SC Braga v Fafe | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | SC Braga v Benfica | 1-2 |
| Dec 29 | SC Braga v Casa Pi… | 1-2 |
| Dec 22 | SC Braga v Santa C… | 0-2 |
| Dec 22 | SC Braga v Santa C… | 0-2 |
| Dec 16 | SC Braga v Famalic… | 3-3 |
| Dec 16 | SC Braga v Famalic… | 3-3 |
| Dec 07 | SC Braga v Varzim | 1-0 |
| Dec 06 | SC Braga v Estoril | 2-2 |
| Dec 06 | SC Braga v Estoril | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jan 04, 2025 | Benfica | 1-2 | SC Braga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Benfica | 3-1 | SC Braga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Benfica | 3-1 | SC Braga |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Benfica | 3-2 | SC Braga |
| Dec 17, 2023 | SC Braga | 0-1 | Benfica |
| Dec 17, 2023 | SC Braga | 0-1 | Benfica |
| May 06, 2023 | Benfica | 1-0 | SC Braga |
| Feb 09, 2023 | SC Braga | 1-1 | Benfica |
| Dec 30, 2022 | SC Braga | 3-0 | Benfica |
Key Factors
SC Braga in strong form (3W in last 5)
Benfica struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.