Taça da Liga · Jan 07, 2025 19:45
Sporting CP
PWR 68
FC Porto
PWR 58
Sporting CP
PWR 68
1 - 0
FT
FC Porto
PWR 58
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Sporting CP to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%)
2-0 (11%)
3-1 (6%)
1-0 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack67
Defense69
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G0.9
Attack62
Defense57
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.2
Sporting CP Form
DWDWL
STABLE
FC Porto Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS35%
Under 2.539%
Sporting CP Goals
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
FC Porto Goals
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.68
Sporting CPvs
0.45
FC PortoDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Sporting CP+2
Gap#4
FC Porto
WR 70% 22 pts
WR 56% 15 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 22 |
| FC Porto | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
Sporting CP
12.0%
| Jan 03 | Sportin… v Guimara… | 4-4 |
| Dec 29 | Sportin… v Benfica | 1-0 |
| Dec 22 | Sportin… v GIL Vic… | 0-0 |
| Dec 18 | Sportin… v Santa C… | 2-1 |
| Dec 10 | Sportin… v Cercle … | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | Sportin… v Santa C… | 0-1 |
| Nov 22 | Sportin… v Amarante | 6-0 |
| Nov 01 | Sportin… v Estrela… | 5-1 |
| Oct 29 | Sportin… v Nacional | 3-1 |
| Oct 05 | Sportin… v Casa Pi… | 2-0 |
FC Porto
12.0%
| Jan 06 | FC Porto v Benfica | 2-1 |
| Dec 28 | FC Porto v Boavista | 4-0 |
| Dec 21 | FC Porto v Moreire… | 0-3 |
| Dec 21 | FC Porto v Vizela | 2-1 |
| Dec 16 | FC Porto v Estrela… | 2-0 |
| Dec 16 | FC Porto v Estrela… | 2-0 |
| Dec 15 | FC Porto v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | FC Porto v Famalic… | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | FC Porto v Famalic… | 1-1 |
| Dec 02 | FC Porto v Casa Pi… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Aug 31, 2024 | Sporting CP | 2-0 | FC Porto |
| Aug 03, 2024 | Sporting CP | 3-4 | FC Porto |
| May 26, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-1 | Sporting CP |
| Apr 28, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-2 | Sporting CP |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Sporting CP | 2-0 | FC Porto |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Sporting CP | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Sporting CP | 0-2 | FC Porto |
Key Factors
FC Porto in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.