Eredivisie · May 25, 2025 16:00
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
FC Twente
PWR 35
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT
FC Twente
PWR 35
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (17%)
2-0 (16%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (34.6%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AZ Alkmaar Form
WDWWW
STABLE
FC Twente Form
WLLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.542%
BTTS36%
Under 2.558%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
FC Twente Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
AZ Alkmaarvs
0.55
FC TwenteDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings48%
Market50%
League Standings
#7
AZ Alkmaar-1
Gap#6
FC Twente
WR 40% 32 pts
WR 27% 34 pts
AZ Alkmaar
18.0%
| May 22 | AZ Alkm… v Heerenv… | 4-1 |
| May 18 | AZ Alkm… v Almere … | 1-1 |
| May 14 | AZ Alkm… v FC Twen… | 2-3 |
| May 11 | AZ Alkm… v Groning… | 3-0 |
| May 04 | AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… | 0-3 |
| Apr 24 | AZ Alkm… v NAC Bre… | 1-1 |
| Apr 21 | AZ Alkm… v GO Ahea… | 1-1 |
| Apr 13 | AZ Alkm… v Heracles | 1-0 |
| Apr 05 | AZ Alkm… v Feyenoo… | 0-1 |
| Apr 01 | AZ Alkm… v Waalwijk | 2-2 |
FC Twente
12.0%
| May 22 | FC Twen… v Nijmegen | 3-2 |
| May 18 | FC Twen… v Ajax | 2-0 |
| May 14 | FC Twen… v AZ Alkm… | 2-3 |
| May 11 | FC Twen… v Utrecht | 2-0 |
| May 04 | FC Twen… v Sparta … | 0-2 |
| Apr 24 | FC Twen… v PSV Ein… | 1-3 |
| Apr 13 | FC Twen… v Zwolle | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | FC Twen… v Fortuna… | 1-1 |
| Mar 30 | FC Twen… v Heracles | 2-1 |
| Mar 16 | FC Twen… v Feyenoo… | 2-6 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 14, 2025 | FC Twente | 2-3 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 1-0 | FC Twente |
| Dec 21, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 1-0 | FC Twente |
| May 05, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-1 | FC Twente |
| May 05, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-1 | FC Twente |
| Jan 13, 2024 | FC Twente | 2-1 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Jan 13, 2024 | FC Twente | 2-1 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Mar 19, 2023 | FC Twente | 2-1 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Sep 11, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 1-1 | FC Twente |
| Mar 13, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 0-1 | FC Twente |
Key Factors
AZ Alkmaar in strong form (4W in last 5)
FC Twente in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.