AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie May 14, 2025

FC Twente

Home
VS
18:00

AZ Alkmaar

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
FC Twente Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
AZ Alkmaar Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.23 - 1.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.6
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Twente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
AZ Alkmaar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
FC Twente Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 FC Twente vs Utrecht 2-0
May 04 FC Twente vs Sparta Ro… 0-2
Apr 24 FC Twente vs PSV Eindh… 1-3
Apr 13 FC Twente vs Zwolle 1-1
Apr 05 FC Twente vs Fortuna S… 1-1
Mar 30 FC Twente vs Heracles 2-1
Mar 16 FC Twente vs Feyenoord 2-6
Mar 09 FC Twente vs Almere Ci… 1-0
Mar 01 FC Twente vs Groningen 1-1
Feb 23 FC Twente vs Nijmegen 2-0
AZ Alkmaar Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen 3-0
May 04 AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead … 0-3
Apr 24 AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda 1-1
Apr 21 AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead … 1-1
Apr 13 AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles 1-0
Apr 05 AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord 0-1
Apr 01 AZ Alkmaar vs Waalwijk 2-2
Mar 29 AZ Alkmaar vs Nijmegen 3-3
Mar 16 AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax 2-2
Mar 13 AZ Alkmaar vs Tottenham 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 21, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 FC Twente Eredivisie
Dec 21, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 FC Twente Pro League
May 05, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 FC Twente Eredivisie
May 05, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 FC Twente Pro League
Jan 13, 2024 FC Twente 2 - 1 AZ Alkmaar Pro League
Jan 13, 2024 FC Twente 2 - 1 AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
Mar 19, 2023 FC Twente 2 - 1 AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
Sep 11, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 FC Twente Eredivisie
Mar 13, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 0 - 1 FC Twente Eredivisie
Jan 19, 2022 FC Twente 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar KNVB Beker
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Twente Power 0
AZ Alkmaar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

FC Twente Position

-1

Position Gap

6

AZ Alkmaar Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.