AI Match Insights
Eredivisie May 05, 2024
AZ Alkmaar
HomeVS
14:45
FC Twente
AwayAI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
AZ Alkmaar Win
Draw
FC Twente Win
Home Win
(47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
55%
Market
50%
Combined: 61%
Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.50 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
AZ Alkmaar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FC Twente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%)
2-0 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (3%)
3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
AZ Alkmaar Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28 | AZ Alkmaar vs Nijmegen | 0-3 |
| Apr 28 | AZ Alkmaar vs Nijmegen | 0-3 |
| Apr 13 | AZ Alkmaar vs Waalwijk | 3-2 |
| Apr 06 | AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindh… | 5-1 |
| Apr 06 | AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindh… | 5-1 |
| Apr 03 | AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles | 5-0 |
| Mar 30 | AZ Alkmaar vs Vitesse | 2-0 |
| Mar 17 | AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volend… | 0-4 |
| Mar 17 | AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volend… | 0-4 |
| Mar 10 | AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior | 4-0 |
FC Twente Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24 | FC Twente vs Almere Ci… | 3-1 |
| Apr 14 | FC Twente vs Ajax | 2-1 |
| Apr 06 | FC Twente vs Fortuna S… | 2-0 |
| Apr 03 | FC Twente vs Heerenveen | 3-3 |
| Apr 03 | FC Twente vs Heerenveen | 3-3 |
| Mar 31 | FC Twente vs Heracles | 1-0 |
| Mar 31 | FC Twente vs Heracles | 1-0 |
| Mar 17 | FC Twente vs PSV Eindh… | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | FC Twente vs Sparta Ro… | 2-1 |
| Mar 02 | FC Twente vs Vitesse | 1-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- AZ Alkmaar in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | FC Twente | 2 - 1 | AZ Alkmaar | Pro League |
| Jan 13, 2024 | FC Twente | 2 - 1 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Mar 19, 2023 | FC Twente | 2 - 1 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Sep 11, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 1 | FC Twente | Eredivisie |
| Mar 13, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 - 1 | FC Twente | Eredivisie |
| Jan 19, 2022 | FC Twente | 1 - 2 | AZ Alkmaar | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 23, 2021 | FC Twente | 3 - 1 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
AZ Alkmaar Power
0
FC Twente Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
6
AZ Alkmaar Position+1
Position Gap7
FC Twente Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.