Copa do Brasil · May 03, 2024 00:30
Palmeiras
PWR 57
Botafogo
PWR 52
Palmeiras
PWR 57
2 - 1
FT
Botafogo
PWR 52
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (12%)
3-0 (12%)
1-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.6%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense73
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack46
Defense69
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Palmeiras Form
DWWLW
STABLE
Botafogo Form
WLDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS45%
Under 2.538%
Palmeiras Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
23%
3
22%
4
17%
Botafogo Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.96
Palmeirasvs
0.64
BotafogoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Palmeiras-1
Gap#8
Botafogo
WR 54% 23 pts
WR 38% 23 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 23 |
| Botafogo | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
Palmeiras
14.0%
| Apr 29 | Palmeir… v São Pau… | 0-0 |
| Apr 14 | Palmeir… v Vitoria | 0-1 |
| Apr 07 | Palmeir… v Santos | 2-0 |
| Mar 31 | Palmeir… v Santos | 1-0 |
| Mar 29 | Palmeir… v Novoriz… | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Palmeir… v Botafogo | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Palmeir… v São Pau… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Palmeir… v Portugu… | 0-2 |
| Feb 24 | Palmeir… v Mirassol | 3-1 |
| Feb 18 | Palmeir… v Corinth… | 2-2 |
Botafogo
10.0%
| May 02 | Botafogo v Vitoria | 1-0 |
| Apr 14 | Botafogo v Cruzeiro | 3-2 |
| Apr 13 | Botafogo v Sousa | 1-1 |
| Apr 06 | Botafogo v Sousa | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | Botafogo v Sousa | 0-0 |
| Mar 09 | Botafogo v Palmeir… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Botafogo v Flumine… | 2-4 |
| Mar 01 | Botafogo v GuaranĂ… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Botafogo v Naciona… | 2-0 |
| Feb 18 | Botafogo v Vasco D… | 2-4 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Mar 09, 2024 | Palmeiras | 1-0 | Botafogo |
| Nov 02, 2023 | Botafogo | 3-4 | Palmeiras |
| Jun 25, 2023 | Palmeiras | 0-1 | Botafogo |
| Jan 20, 2023 | Botafogo | 0-1 | Palmeiras |
| Oct 03, 2022 | Botafogo | 1-3 | Palmeiras |
Key Factors
Palmeiras in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.