Copa Argentina · Nov 28, 2024 00:10
Boca Juniors
PWR 55
VĂ©lez Sarsfield
PWR 52
Boca Juniors
PWR 55
3 - 4
FT
VĂ©lez Sarsfield
PWR 52
25% H
29% D
46% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (17%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
0-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
HOME_SCORING
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack79
Defense48
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.5
Attack50
Defense50
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Boca Juniors Form
DDLLD
STABLE
VĂ©lez Sarsfield Form
DWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS39%
Under 2.562%
Boca Juniors Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Vélez Sarsf… Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Boca Juniorsvs
0.69
VĂ©lez SarsfieldDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Boca Juniors-1
Gap#10
Vélez Sarsf…
WR 38% 11 pts
WR 57% 12 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 11 |
| VĂ©lez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
Boca Juniors
6.0%
| Oct 27 | Boca Ju… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Oct 24 | Boca Ju… v Gimnasi… | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Boca Ju… v Tigre | 3-0 |
| Sep 21 | Boca Ju… v River P… | 0-1 |
| Sep 07 | Boca Ju… v Tallere… | 1-1 |
| Aug 27 | Boca Ju… v Estudia… | 1-1 |
| Jun 20 | Boca Ju… v Almiran… | 2-1 |
| Jun 14 | Boca Ju… v Vélez S… | 1-0 |
| Apr 30 | Boca Ju… v Estudia… | 1-1 |
| Apr 21 | Boca Ju… v River P… | 2-3 |
VĂ©lez Sarsfield
18.0%
| Oct 19 | Vélez S… v River P… | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | Vélez S… v Indepen… | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Vélez S… v Institu… | 1-0 |
| Aug 07 | Vélez S… v San Lor… | 1-3 |
| Jul 21 | Vélez S… v Tallere… | 3-0 |
| Jun 14 | Vélez S… v Boca Ju… | 1-0 |
| Jun 06 | Vélez S… v Arsenal… | 1-2 |
| May 26 | Vélez S… v Indepen… | 1-1 |
| May 13 | Vélez S… v Gimnasi… | 3-1 |
| Mar 30 | Vélez S… v Tallere… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jun 14, 2024 | Boca Juniors | 1-0 | Vélez Sarsfie… |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Vélez Sarsfie… | 1-2 | Boca Juniors |
| Oct 02, 2022 | Boca Juniors | 1-0 | Vélez Sarsfie… |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Vélez Sarsfie… | 0-0 | Boca Juniors |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Vélez Sarsfie… | 2-0 | Boca Juniors |
| Mar 08, 2021 | Vélez Sarsfie… | 1-7 | Boca Juniors |
Key Factors
VĂ©lez Sarsfield in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.