Copa Argentina · Dec 14, 2023 00:10

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
PWR 53
1 - 0
FT

Defensa y Justicia
PWR 45
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (27%) 1-0 (26%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Attack35
Defense58
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.2
Estudiantes de… Form DWDDL
STABLE
Defensa y Just… Form LWLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS19%
Under 2.586%
Estudiantes… Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Defensa y J… Goals
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Estudiantes de…
vs
0.36
Defensa y Just…
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Estudiantes…
+15
Gap
#22
Defensa y J…
WR 50% 14 pts WR 40% 6 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Estudiantes de …842210814
Defensa y Justi…5203566
Estudiantes de… 10.0%
Nov 26 Estudia… v Deporti… 1-1
Nov 23 Estudia… v Boca Ju… 2-3
Nov 22 Estudia… v Deporti… 0-0
Nov 14 Estudia… v Atletic… 0-0
Nov 13 Estudia… v Deporti… 0-1
Nov 05 Estudia… v Defensa… 2-1
Oct 28 Estudia… v Boca Ju… 0-0
Sep 09 Estudia… v Indepen… 1-1
Aug 03 Estudia… v Banfield 0-1
Jul 28 Estudia… v Argenti… 2-3
Defensa y Just… 10.0%
Nov 28 Defensa… v Newell’… 3-0
Nov 24 Defensa… v San Lor… 1-0
Nov 05 Defensa… v Estudia… 2-1
May 14 Defensa… v Estudia… 1-1
Feb 11 Defensa… v Newell’… 1-0
Sep 20 Defensa… v Estudia… 1-2
Jul 25 Defensa… v Newell’… 1-2
Feb 11 Defensa… v Newell’… 1-0
Oct 16 Defensa… v Estudia… 2-1
Aug 25 Defensa… v Newell’… 2-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Nov 05, 2023 Estudiantes d… 2-1 Defensa y Jus…
May 14, 2023 Defensa y Jus… 1-1 Estudiantes d…
Sep 20, 2022 Estudiantes d… 1-2 Defensa y Jus…
Oct 16, 2021 Defensa y Jus… 2-1 Estudiantes d…
Dec 23, 2020 Defensa y Jus… 2-1 Estudiantes d…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.