AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League Apr 27, 2025

Union Saint-Gilloise

Home
VS
16:30

Club Brugge KV

Away
AI Predictions 69.0% Confidence
Union Saint-Gilloise Win
69.0%
Draw
20.2%
Club Brugge KV Win
10.8%
Home Win (69% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.05 - 0.87
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.9
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Union Saint-Gilloise Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Club Brugge KV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Union Saint-Gilloise Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 24 Union Saiā€¦ vs Club Brugā€¦ 0-1
Apr 20 Union Saiā€¦ vs Gent 1-2
Apr 12 Union Saiā€¦ vs Anderlecht 2-0
Apr 05 Union Saiā€¦ vs Gent 0-3
Mar 01 Union Saiā€¦ vs Dender 4-1
Feb 23 Union Saiā€¦ vs Anderlecht 0-2
Feb 20 Union Saiā€¦ vs Ajax 1-2
Feb 16 Union Saiā€¦ vs Mechelen 0-1
Feb 13 Union Saiā€¦ vs Ajax 0-2
Jan 19 Union Saiā€¦ vs OH Leuven 1-0
Club Brugge KV Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 24 Club Brugā€¦ vs Union Saiā€¦ 0-1
Dec 22 Club Brugā€¦ vs Union Saiā€¦ 2-2
Oct 06 Club Brugā€¦ vs Union Saiā€¦ 1-1
Jul 20 Club Brugā€¦ vs Union Saiā€¦ 1-2
May 13 Club Brugā€¦ vs Union Saiā€¦ 2-2
Apr 21 Club Brugā€¦ vs Union Saiā€¦ 1-2
Feb 28 Club Brugā€¦ vs Union Saiā€¦ 2-0
Dec 06 Club Brugā€¦ vs Zulte Warā€¦ 4-0
Jul 01 Club Brugā€¦ vs Zulte Warā€¦ 0-1
Jan 29 Club Brugā€¦ vs Zulte Warā€¦ 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Union Saint-Gilloise in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 24, 2025 Club Brugge KV 0 - 1 Union Saint-Gilloise Jupiler Pro Leā€¦
Dec 22, 2024 Union Saint-Gilloise 2 - 2 Club Brugge KV Jupiler Pro Leā€¦
Oct 06, 2024 Club Brugge KV 1 - 1 Union Saint-Gilloise Jupiler Pro Leā€¦
Jul 20, 2024 Club Brugge KV 1 - 2 Union Saint-Gilloise Super Cup
May 13, 2024 Club Brugge KV 2 - 2 Union Saint-Gilloise Jupiler Pro Leā€¦
Apr 21, 2024 Union Saint-Gilloise 1 - 2 Club Brugge KV Jupiler Pro Leā€¦
Feb 28, 2024 Union Saint-Gilloise 2 - 0 Club Brugge KV Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Union Saint-Gilloise to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Union Saint-Gilloise Power 0
Club Brugge KV Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Union Saint-Gilloise Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Club Brugge KV Position
Home Win Rate: 91%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.