AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League May 13, 2024

Club Brugge KV

Home
VS
18:30

Union Saint-Gilloise

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Club Brugge KV Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Union Saint-Gilloise Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.41 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Club Brugge KV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Union Saint-Gilloise Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Club Brugge KV Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Club Brug… vs Union Sai… 1-2
Feb 28 Club Brug… vs Union Sai… 2-0
Dec 06 Club Brug… vs Zulte War… 4-0
Jul 01 Club Brug… vs Zulte War… 0-1
Jan 29 Club Brug… vs Zulte War… 1-2
Aug 05 Club Brug… vs Zulte War… 1-1
Dec 12 Club Brug… vs Zulte War… 3-0
Aug 15 Club Brug… vs Zulte War… 0-4
Jul 07 Club Brug… vs Zulte War… 2-1
Mar 07 Club Brug… vs Zulte War… 3-0
Union Saint-Gilloise Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 09 Union Sai… vs Antwerp 1-0
May 05 Union Sai… vs Anderlecht 0-0
Apr 28 Union Sai… vs Antwerp 4-1
Apr 25 Union Sai… vs Antwerp 0-3
Apr 21 Union Sai… vs Club Brug… 1-2
Apr 14 Union Sai… vs Anderlecht 2-1
Apr 07 Union Sai… vs Cercle Br… 2-3
Mar 10 Union Sai… vs Gent 1-1
Mar 02 Union Sai… vs OH Leuven 0-2
Feb 28 Union Sai… vs Club Brug… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Club Brugge KV in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Union Saint-Gilloise in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 21, 2024 Union Saint-Gilloise 1 - 2 Club Brugge KV Jupiler Pro Le…
Feb 28, 2024 Union Saint-Gilloise 2 - 0 Club Brugge KV Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Club Brugge KV to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Club Brugge KV Power 0
Union Saint-Gilloise Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Club Brugge KV Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Union Saint-Gilloise Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.