AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 Mar 31, 2024

AEK Athens FC

Home
VS
17:30

Olympiakos Piraeus

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
AEK Athens FC Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Olympiakos Piraeus Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.12 - 1.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 1.2
Score Prediction Analysis
AEK Athens FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Olympiakos Piraeus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
AEK Athens FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 AEK Athen… vs Aris Thes… 3-3
Feb 04 AEK Athen… vs Asteras T… 4-2
Jan 28 AEK Athen… vs OFI Crete 3-0
Jan 21 AEK Athen… vs Atromitos 0-5
Jan 17 AEK Athen… vs Aris Thes… 1-1
Jan 14 AEK Athen… vs Panathina… 2-2
Jan 10 AEK Athen… vs Aris Thes… 0-0
Jan 07 AEK Athen… vs Olympiako… 1-2
Dec 21 AEK Athen… vs Panserrai… 2-2
Dec 18 AEK Athen… vs Panetolik… 2-2
Olympiakos Piraeus Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 10 Olympiako… vs Panathina… 1-3
Mar 03 Olympiako… vs Volos NFC 3-0
Feb 25 Olympiako… vs Asteras T… 2-1
Feb 18 Olympiako… vs PAOK 1-4
Feb 10 Olympiako… vs OFI Crete 4-0
Feb 04 Olympiako… vs Panathina… 2-0
Jan 21 Olympiako… vs Aris Thes… 1-2
Jan 17 Olympiako… vs Panathina… 0-0
Jan 14 Olympiako… vs Kifisia 2-3
Jan 10 Olympiako… vs Panathina… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AEK Athens FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Olympiakos Piraeus in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 07, 2024 Olympiakos Piraeus 1 - 2 AEK Athens FC Super League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AEK Athens FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AEK Athens FC Power 0
Olympiakos Piraeus Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AEK Athens FC Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Olympiakos Piraeus Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.