UEFA Champions League · Mar 04, 2025 20:00
Real Madrid
PWR 49
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
Real Madrid
PWR 49
2 - 1
FT
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
Real Madrid Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy77%
POSITION_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKINGDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack64
Defense75
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G0.8
Attack52
Defense77
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Real Madrid Form
WLWWW
STABLE
Atlético Madrid Form
WDWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.553%
BTTS54%
Under 2.547%
Real Madrid Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4
8%
Atlético Ma… Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Real Madridvs
1.02
Atlético MadridDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum77%
Standings78%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Real Madrid+9
Gap#12
Atlético Ma…
WR 75% 15 pts
WR 25% 13 pts
Real Madrid
16.0%
| Mar 01 | Real Ma… v Ath Bil… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Real Ma… v Real Be… | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Real Ma… v Real So… | 0-1 |
| Feb 23 | Real Ma… v Girona | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Real Ma… v Valencia | 0-3 |
| Feb 19 | Real Ma… v Manches… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Real Ma… v Osasuna | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Real Ma… v Celta | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Real Ma… v Manches… | 2-3 |
| Feb 08 | Real Ma… v Real Ma… | 1-1 |
Atlético Madrid
16.0%
| Mar 01 | Atlétic… v Athleti… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Atlétic… v FC Barc… | 4-4 |
| Feb 22 | Atlétic… v Valencia | 0-3 |
| Feb 08 | Atlétic… v Real Ma… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Atlétic… v Getafe | 5-0 |
| Feb 01 | Atlétic… v Mallorca | 2-0 |
| Jan 29 | Atlétic… v RB Salz… | 1-4 |
| Jan 15 | Atlétic… v Elche | 0-4 |
| Dec 21 | Atlétic… v FC Barc… | 1-2 |
| Nov 23 | Atlétic… v Alavés | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Feb 08, 2025 | Real Madrid | 1-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Atlético Madr… | 1-1 | Real Madrid |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Real Madrid | 1-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Atlético Madr… | 4-2 | Real Madrid |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Real Madrid | 5-3 | Atlético Madr… |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Atlético Madr… | 3-1 | Real Madrid |
Key Factors
Real Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5)
Atlético Madrid in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.