Super League · May 16, 2024 18:30

FC Lugano
PWR 35
4 - 2
FT

FC Winterthur
PWR 35
63% H 21% D 16% A
Final Verdict
FC Lugano Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (41%) 1-0 (28%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 12 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
COMBINED_ELITETOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (12 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Lugano Form WLWWW
STABLE
FC Winterthur Form LLLLW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.56%
BTTS9%
Under 2.594%
FC Lugano Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
FC Winterth… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
FC Lugano
vs
0.20
FC Winterthur
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings85%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
FC Lugano
+10
Gap
#12
FC Winterth…
WR 73% 41 pts WR 9% 14 pts
FC Lugano 16.0%
May 11 FC Luga… v BSC You… 0-1
May 04 FC Luga… v FC St. … 0-1
Apr 27 FC Luga… v FC Sion 0-2
Apr 20 FC Luga… v Lausanne 2-0
Apr 13 FC Luga… v Grassho… 0-1
Apr 06 FC Luga… v FC Wint… 2-2
Apr 02 FC Luga… v FC Base… 2-0
Mar 09 FC Luga… v FC St. … 2-3
Mar 03 FC Luga… v FC Luze… 0-1
Feb 28 FC Luga… v FC Base… 2-2
FC Winterthur 4.0%
May 12 FC Wint… v FC Zuri… 1-3
May 04 FC Wint… v Servett… 2-1
Apr 28 FC Wint… v Servett… 0-1
Apr 21 FC Wint… v BSC You… 1-2
Apr 14 FC Wint… v Stade L… 0-1
Apr 06 FC Wint… v FC Luga… 2-2
Apr 03 FC Wint… v FC Zuri… 0-0
Mar 16 FC Wint… v FC Base… 1-1
Feb 28 FC Wint… v FC Zuri… 0-2
Feb 25 FC Wint… v Lausanne 1-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Apr 06, 2024 FC Winterthur 2-2 FC Lugano
Dec 10, 2023 FC Lugano 2-1 FC Winterthur
Sep 30, 2023 FC Winterthur 2-3 FC Lugano
May 14, 2023 FC Lugano 2-1 FC Winterthur
Feb 05, 2023 FC Winterthur 1-0 FC Lugano
Key Factors
FC Lugano in strong form (4W in last 5)
FC Winterthur struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.