Challenge League · Apr 18, 2025 17:30
Bellinzona
PWR 35
Stade Nyonnais
PWR 35
Bellinzona
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Stade Nyonnais
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Bellinzona to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (40.5%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Bellinzona Form
WLDLL
STABLE
Stade Nyonnais Form
LLLWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS52%
Under 2.544%
Bellinzona Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Stade Nyonn… Goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Bellinzonavs
0.87
Stade NyonnaisDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Bellinzona-3
Gap#7
Stade Nyonn…
WR 30% 14 pts
WR 10% 21 pts
Bellinzona
6.0%
| Apr 12 | Bellinz… v FC Vaduz | 3-1 |
| Apr 05 | Bellinz… v Étoile … | 7-0 |
| Mar 31 | Bellinz… v FC Aarau | 1-1 |
| Mar 28 | Bellinz… v Stade N… | 3-0 |
| Mar 16 | Bellinz… v FC Vaduz | 3-1 |
| Mar 08 | Bellinz… v FC WIL … | 0-3 |
| Mar 02 | Bellinz… v Neuchât… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Bellinz… v Lausanne | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Bellinz… v FC Aarau | 2-1 |
| Dec 14 | Bellinz… v FC WIL … | 0-2 |
Stade Nyonnais
4.0%
| Apr 11 | Stade N… v FC Thun | 0-2 |
| Apr 04 | Stade N… v FC WIL … | 0-2 |
| Mar 31 | Stade N… v Étoile … | 2-1 |
| Mar 28 | Stade N… v Bellinz… | 3-0 |
| Mar 16 | Stade N… v Neuchât… | 4-0 |
| Mar 07 | Stade N… v Étoile … | 0-3 |
| Feb 15 | Stade N… v FC WIL … | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Stade N… v FC Vaduz | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Stade N… v FC Aarau | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Stade N… v Neuchât… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Mar 28, 2025 | Stade Nyonnais | 3-0 | Bellinzona |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Bellinzona | 1-1 | Stade Nyonnais |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Stade Nyonnais | 2-1 | Bellinzona |
| May 09, 2024 | Stade Nyonnais | 1-3 | Bellinzona |
| Mar 09, 2024 | Bellinzona | 0-2 | Stade Nyonnais |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Stade Nyonnais | 2-3 | Bellinzona |
| Oct 01, 2023 | Bellinzona | 1-0 | Stade Nyonnais |
| Jun 04, 2022 | Stade Nyonnais | 1-2 | Bellinzona |
Key Factors
Bellinzona struggling (3L in last 5)
Stade Nyonnais struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.