FA Cup · Apr 20, 2024 11:30
Aberdeen
PWR 80
Celtic
PWR 90
Aberdeen
PWR 80
3 - 3
FT
Celtic
PWR 90
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Aberdeen to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
2-2 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack84
Defense76
Goals/G2.4
Conc/G0.7
Attack100
Defense83
Goals/G2.9
Conc/G0.5
Aberdeen Form
DDWLW
STABLE
Celtic Form
WDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS67%
Under 2.534%
Aberdeen Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Celtic Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Aberdeenvs
1.44
CelticDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Aberdeen-2
Gap#1
Celtic
WR 80% 26 pts
WR 86% 38 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 7 | 26 |
| Celtic | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 7 | 38 |
Aberdeen
12.0%
| Apr 13 | Aberdeen v Dundee … | 0-0 |
| Apr 06 | Aberdeen v Livings… | 0-0 |
| Mar 16 | Aberdeen v Motherw… | 0-1 |
| Mar 13 | Aberdeen v Dundee … | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Aberdeen v Kilmarn… | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Aberdeen v St. Mir… | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | Aberdeen v Kilmarn… | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | Aberdeen v Hiberni… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Aberdeen v Motherw… | 3-3 |
| Feb 10 | Aberdeen v Bonnyri… | 2-0 |
Celtic
16.0%
| Apr 13 | Celtic v St. Mir… | 3-0 |
| Apr 07 | Celtic v Rangers… | 3-3 |
| Apr 04 | Celtic v Ilirija | 1-2 |
| Mar 31 | Celtic v Livings… | 0-3 |
| Mar 10 | Celtic v Brinje-… | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Celtic v Livings… | 4-2 |
| Mar 03 | Celtic v Heart o… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Celtic v Dundee | 7-1 |
| Feb 25 | Celtic v Motherw… | 1-3 |
| Feb 17 | Celtic v Kilmarn… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 03, 2024 | Aberdeen | 1-1 | Celtic |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Celtic | 6-0 | Aberdeen |
Key Factors
Celtic in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.