AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge Cup Sep 07, 2024

Stenhousemuir

Home
VS
14:00

Falkirk

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Stenhousemuir Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Falkirk Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.68 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.4
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stenhousemuir Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Falkirk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Stenhousemuir Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… 5-1
Aug 17 Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Aug 10 Stenhouse… vs Kelty Hea… 2-0
Jul 27 Stenhouse… vs Falkirk 4-0
Apr 06 Stenhouse… vs East Fife 0-0
Mar 30 Stenhouse… vs Dumbarton 0-0
Mar 23 Stenhouse… vs Peterhead 0-0
Feb 10 Stenhouse… vs East Fife 1-1
Feb 03 Stenhouse… vs Dumbarton 1-0
Jan 27 Stenhouse… vs Peterhead 2-1
Falkirk Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Falkirk vs Heart of … 2-0
Jul 27 Falkirk vs Stenhouse… 4-0
Jul 13 Falkirk vs Dundee Utd 2-0
May 04 Falkirk vs Alloa Ath… 2-2
Apr 27 Falkirk vs Alloa Ath… 3-3
Apr 20 Falkirk vs Kelty Hea… 2-2
Apr 13 Falkirk vs Hamilton … 0-2
Apr 06 Falkirk vs Rangers FC 5-1
Mar 30 Falkirk vs Montrose 1-7
Mar 23 Falkirk vs Edinburgh… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Falkirk in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Stenhousemuir struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 27, 2024 Falkirk 4 - 0 Stenhousemuir League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stenhousemuir to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stenhousemuir Power 0
Falkirk Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.