AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX May 26, 2025

Toluca

Home
VS
01:00

Club América

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Toluca Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Club América Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 86%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.70 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Toluca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Club América Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Toluca Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 23 Toluca vs Club Amér… 0-0
May 18 Toluca vs Tigres UA… 3-0
May 15 Toluca vs Tigres UA… 1-1
May 11 Toluca vs Monterrey 2-1
May 08 Toluca vs Monterrey 3-2
Apr 20 Toluca vs Cruz Azul 2-2
Apr 17 Toluca vs Atletico … 0-1
Apr 13 Toluca vs Atlas 2-3
Apr 07 Toluca vs Santos La… 2-1
Mar 15 Toluca vs Puebla 0-3
Club América Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 23 Club Amér… vs Toluca 0-0
May 19 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 2-1
May 16 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 1-0
May 11 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 2-0
May 08 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 0-0
Apr 19 Club Amér… vs Mazatlán … 5-0
Apr 17 Club Amér… vs Monterrey 1-0
Apr 13 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 0-0
Apr 05 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 1-0
Mar 01 Club Amér… vs Toluca 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 23, 2025 Club América 0 - 0 Toluca Liga MX
Mar 01, 2025 Club América 3 - 0 Toluca Liga MX
Nov 30, 2024 Toluca 0 - 2 Club América Liga MX
Nov 28, 2024 Club América 2 - 0 Toluca Liga MX
Nov 10, 2024 Toluca 4 - 0 Club América Liga MX
Apr 14, 2024 Club América 5 - 1 Toluca Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Toluca Power 0
Club América Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Toluca Position

+4

Position Gap

9

Club América Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.