Liga MX · Apr 22, 2024 00:00
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
Atlas
PWR 35
Cruz Azul
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Atlas
PWR 35
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (18%)
2-0 (17%)
1-0 (11%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
0-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Cruz Azul Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Atlas Form
WLDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS19%
Under 2.545%
Cruz Azul Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Atlas Goals
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.08
Cruz Azulvs
0.22
AtlasDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings67%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Cruz Azul+1
Gap#3
Atlas
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 50% 9 pts
Cruz Azul
18.0%
| Apr 13 | Cruz Az… v Puebla | 0-1 |
| Apr 07 | Cruz Az… v Monterr… | 2-1 |
| Mar 31 | Cruz Az… v U.N.A.M… | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 2-3 |
| Feb 18 | Cruz Az… v Tigres … | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 0-0 |
| Nov 13 | Cruz Az… v Puebla | 1-2 |
| Nov 05 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 2-0 |
Atlas
10.0%
| Apr 15 | Atlas v Atletic… | 2-1 |
| Apr 07 | Atlas v Toluca | 4-1 |
| Mar 25 | Atlas v Guadala… | 0-0 |
| Mar 24 | Atlas v Guadala… | 0-0 |
| Mar 09 | Atlas v Puebla | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Atlas v U.N.A.M… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Atlas v Mazatlá… | 2-0 |
| Jan 15 | Atlas v Necaxa | 2-1 |
| Dec 30 | Atlas v Mazatlá… | 1-0 |
| Nov 11 | Atlas v Necaxa | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jul 02, 2023 | Atlas | 2-0 | Cruz Azul |
| May 06, 2023 | Cruz Azul | 0-1 | Atlas |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Cruz Azul | 1-0 | Atlas |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Atlas | 3-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Jun 27, 2022 | Atlas | 2-2 | Cruz Azul |
| Apr 03, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 1-0 | Atlas |
Key Factors
Cruz Azul in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.