AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Apr 14, 2024

Club América

Home
VS
01:05

Toluca

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Club América Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Toluca Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.27 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Club América Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Toluca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Club América Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 07 Club Amér… vs Santos La… 1-1
Mar 30 Club Amér… vs Atletico … 2-1
Feb 18 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 2-1
Feb 04 Club Amér… vs Monterrey 1-1
Jan 28 Club Amér… vs Necaxa 0-0
Jan 14 Club Amér… vs Club Tiju… 0-2
Dec 10 Club Amér… vs Atletico … 0-2
Dec 07 Club Amér… vs Atletico … 0-5
Nov 05 Club Amér… vs Club Tiju… 3-0
Nov 02 Club Amér… vs Atletico … 0-1
Toluca Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 07 Toluca vs Atlas 4-1
Mar 02 Toluca vs Tigres UA… 2-1
Feb 22 Toluca vs Santos La… 1-0
Feb 19 Toluca vs Monterrey 0-0
Jan 27 Toluca vs Puebla 1-1
Nov 06 Toluca vs Santos La… 3-1
Nov 01 Toluca vs Puebla 0-1
Oct 05 Toluca vs Tigres UA… 2-2
Aug 31 Toluca vs Monterrey 1-0
Jun 24 Toluca vs Puebla 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Toluca in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Club América Power 0
Toluca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Club América Position

-4

Position Gap

5

Toluca Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.