Liga de Expansión MX · May 05, 2024 22:00

Atlante FC
PWR 35
5 - 1
FT

Tapatío
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Atlante FC to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 5-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Atlante FC Form WWWWD
UP
Tapatío Form LWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS56%
Under 2.540%
Atlante FC Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Tapatío Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Atlante FC
vs
1.00
Tapatío
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
Atlante FC
-11
Gap
#4
Tapatío
WR 0% 1 pts WR 0% 7 pts
Atlante FC 18.0%
May 02 Atlante… v Tapatío 0-3
Apr 28 Atlante… v Cancún 2-1
Apr 26 Atlante… v Cancún 0-1
Apr 12 Atlante… v Correca… 4-0
Apr 02 Atlante… v Tapatío 0-0
Mar 29 Atlante… v Dorados 0-3
Mar 24 Atlante… v Monarcas 0-0
Mar 14 Atlante… v Tepatit… 1-2
Sep 30 Atlante… v Tapatío 1-1
Aug 06 Atlante… v Tepatit… 2-2
Tapatío 12.0%
May 02 Tapatío v Atlante… 0-3
Apr 28 Tapatío v Celaya 2-0
Apr 25 Tapatío v Celaya 4-3
Apr 12 Tapatío v Celaya 1-2
Apr 06 Tapatío v Dorados 1-3
Apr 02 Tapatío v Atlante… 0-0
Mar 27 Tapatío v Cancún 1-1
Mar 23 Tapatío v Tepatit… 0-4
Feb 23 Tapatío v Leones … 1-0
Feb 02 Tapatío v CA La P… 0-2
Head-to-Head (6)
May 02, 2024 Tapatío 0-3 Atlante FC
Apr 02, 2024 Tapatío 0-0 Atlante FC
Sep 30, 2023 Atlante FC 1-1 Tapatío
Jun 04, 2023 Atlante FC 1-0 Tapatío
May 28, 2023 Tapatío 3-1 Atlante FC
May 13, 2023 Tapatío 1-0 Atlante FC
Key Factors
Atlante FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
Tapatío in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.