Primera A · Dec 09, 2024 00:00

Santa Fe
PWR 35
0 - 3
FT

Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
27% H 29% D 44% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Santa Fe Form DLLLL
STABLE
Atlético Nacio… Form WDLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS31%
Under 2.553%
Santa Fe Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Santa Fe
vs
0.42
Atlético Nacio…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Santa Fe
-3
Gap
#7
Atlético Na…
WR 0% 6 pts WR 0% 6 pts
Santa Fe 2.0%
Dec 06 Santa Fe v Millona… 1-1
Dec 02 Santa Fe v Deporti… 1-2
Nov 29 Santa Fe v Deporti… 1-0
Nov 27 Santa Fe v Millona… 0-1
Nov 21 Santa Fe v Atlétic… 5-0
Nov 15 Santa Fe v Jaguares 3-0
Nov 12 Santa Fe v America… 0-0
Nov 09 Santa Fe v Once Ca… 2-1
Nov 05 Santa Fe v Atlétic… 1-1
Oct 11 Santa Fe v Chico 3-1
Atlético Nacio… 14.0%
Dec 05 Atlétic… v Deporti… 2-1
Dec 03 Atlétic… v Millona… 1-1
Nov 30 Atlétic… v Millona… 2-1
Nov 24 Atlétic… v Deporti… 0-1
Nov 21 Atlétic… v Santa Fe 5-0
Nov 18 Atlétic… v Indepen… 1-0
Nov 15 Atlétic… v Deporte… 1-0
Nov 11 Atlétic… v Indepen… 1-1
Nov 08 Atlétic… v Deporti… 1-1
Nov 05 Atlétic… v Santa Fe 1-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Nov 21, 2024 Atlético Naci… 5-0 Santa Fe
Nov 05, 2024 Atlético Naci… 1-1 Santa Fe
Apr 13, 2024 Santa Fe 0-0 Atlético Naci…
Sep 21, 2023 Atlético Naci… 3-0 Santa Fe
May 12, 2023 Santa Fe 0-2 Atlético Naci…
Key Factors
Atlético Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5)
Santa Fe struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.