Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Aug 04, 2024 18:00
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
Club Nacional
PWR 35
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Club Nacional
PWR 35
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Peñarol Montevideo to win (83% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
83%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (26%)
0-0 (21%)
0-2 (17%)
1-1 (8%)
0-3 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Peñarol Montev… Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Club Nacional Form
WWWDW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.520%
BTTS19%
Under 2.580%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Peñarol Montev…vs
1.26
Club NacionalDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum36%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Peñarol Mon…+5
Gap#8
Club Nacion…
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Peñarol Montev…
12.0%
| Jul 28 | Peñarol… v Danubio | 2-0 |
| Jul 27 | Peñarol… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Jul 21 | Peñarol… v Fenix | 2-0 |
| Jul 21 | Peñarol… v Cerrito | 0-1 |
| Jul 14 | Peñarol… v River P… | 1-3 |
| Jul 13 | Peñarol… v Rampla … | 3-2 |
| Jul 06 | Peñarol… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Jul 06 | Peñarol… v Cerro L… | 1-0 |
| Jun 23 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 1-0 |
| Jun 22 | Peñarol… v Progreso | 0-2 |
Club Nacional
18.0%
| Jul 28 | Club Na… v Boston … | 1-0 |
| Jul 20 | Club Na… v Miramar | 4-0 |
| Jul 13 | Club Na… v Danubio | 0-6 |
| Jul 07 | Club Na… v Rampla … | 1-1 |
| Jun 23 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 0-4 |
| Jun 15 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Jun 04 | Club Na… v Boston … | 1-3 |
| May 20 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 0-2 |
| Apr 06 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 1-0 |
| Mar 23 | Club Na… v Progreso | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jun 15, 2024 | Club Nacional | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Feb 06, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Club Nacional |
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
Club Nacional in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.