Predictions Match Details
Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Jul 27, 2024 20:30

Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Defensor Sporting
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Peñarol Montevideo to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 0-0 (12%) 2-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Peñarol Montev… Form WLWLD
STABLE
Defensor Sport… Form LWDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.535%
BTTS42%
Under 2.565%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Defensor Sp… Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Peñarol Montev…
vs
1.01
Defensor Sport…
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings86%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Peñarol Mon…
+4
Gap
#7
Defensor Sp…
WR 100% 3 pts WR 0% 1 pts
Peñarol Montev… 10.0%
Jul 21 Peñarol… v Fenix 2-0
Jul 21 Peñarol… v Cerrito 0-1
Jul 14 Peñarol… v River P… 1-3
Jul 13 Peñarol… v Rampla … 3-2
Jul 06 Peñarol… v Deporti… 1-1
Jul 06 Peñarol… v Cerro L… 1-0
Jun 23 Peñarol… v Boston … 1-0
Jun 22 Peñarol… v Progreso 0-2
Jun 16 Peñarol… v Racing … 1-1
Jun 15 Peñarol… v Club Na… 2-1
Defensor Sport… 12.0%
Jul 19 Defenso… v River P… 0-1
Jul 14 Defenso… v Fenix 1-2
Jul 07 Defenso… v Wandere… 1-1
Jun 22 Defenso… v Racing … 0-1
Jun 15 Defenso… v Progreso 1-1
May 22 Defenso… v Atletic… 2-2
May 12 Defenso… v Progreso 1-4
Apr 28 Defenso… v Wandere… 2-2
Apr 10 Defenso… v River P… 2-1
Mar 14 Defenso… v Danubio 1-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Jan 31, 2024 Peñarol Monte… 1-0 Defensor Spor…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.