Predictions Match Details
Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Jun 23, 2024 13:00

Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Boston River
PWR 35
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Peñarol Montevideo to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPHOME_FORMTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Peñarol Montev… Form WDLWL
STABLE
Boston River Form LDLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS44%
Under 2.538%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Boston River Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.09
Peñarol Montev…
vs
0.62
Boston River
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings85%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Peñarol Mon…
+10
Gap
#12
Boston River
WR 100% 3 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Peñarol Montev… 10.0%
Jun 22 Peñarol… v Progreso 0-2
Jun 16 Peñarol… v Racing … 1-1
Jun 15 Peñarol… v Club Na… 2-1
Apr 20 Peñarol… v Boston … 1-3
Apr 17 Peñarol… v Atletic… 1-3
Mar 15 Peñarol… v Racing … 1-2
Feb 12 Peñarol… v Peñarol… 3-1
Feb 06 Peñarol… v Club Na… 2-1
Feb 05 Peñarol… v Boston … 2-0
Jan 31 Peñarol… v Defenso… 1-0
Boston River 4.0%
Jun 17 Boston … v Cerro L… 0-2
Jun 11 Boston … v Rampla … 1-1
Jun 04 Boston … v Club Na… 1-3
Apr 20 Boston … v Peñarol… 1-3
Feb 24 Boston … v Danubio 0-0
Feb 05 Boston … v Peñarol… 2-0
Dec 08 Boston … v Plaza C… 3-2
Dec 03 Boston … v Cerro L… 0-1
Nov 29 Boston … v Peñarol… 2-0
Nov 24 Boston … v Atletic… 2-0
Head-to-Head (7)
Apr 20, 2024 Boston River 1-3 Peñarol Monte…
Feb 05, 2024 Peñarol Monte… 2-0 Boston River
Nov 29, 2023 Peñarol Monte… 2-0 Boston River
Sep 02, 2023 Boston River 0-1 Peñarol Monte…
Jul 16, 2023 Peñarol Monte… 2-1 Boston River
Feb 20, 2023 Peñarol Monte… 1-0 Boston River
Oct 12, 2022 Boston River 2-1 Peñarol Monte…
Key Factors
Boston River struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.