Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Jun 15, 2024 20:30
Club Nacional
PWR 35
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
Club Nacional
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Club Nacional to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (12%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 0%, pos gap 5
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Club Nacional Form
WWWDL
UP
Peñarol Montev… Form
WLWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS38%
Under 2.569%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Club Nacionalvs
0.84
Peñarol Montev…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings40%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Club Nacion…-5
Gap#3
Peñarol Mon…
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Club Nacional
14.0%
| Jun 04 | Club Na… v Boston … | 1-3 |
| May 20 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 0-2 |
| Apr 06 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 1-0 |
| Mar 23 | Club Na… v Progreso | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | Club Na… v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Dec 04 | Club Na… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Club Na… v La Luz | 0-1 |
| Nov 26 | Club Na… v Rangers… | 3-1 |
| Nov 20 | Club Na… v Fenix | 1-1 |
Peñarol Montev…
16.0%
| Apr 20 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 1-3 |
| Apr 17 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 1-3 |
| Mar 15 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 1-2 |
| Feb 12 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 3-1 |
| Feb 06 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Peñarol… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Dec 16 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 2-0 |
| Dec 09 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Feb 06, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Club Nacional |
Key Factors
Club Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5)
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.