Primera DivisiĂłn - Clausura · Oct 21, 2024 22:00
Defensor Sporting
PWR 45
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
Defensor Sporting
PWR 45
2 - 1
FT
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Peñarol Montevideo to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack34
Defense63
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
Attack55
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Defensor Sport… Form
LLWDW
DOWN
Peñarol Montev… Form
WDDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS71%
Under 2.530%
Defensor Sp… Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Defensor Sport…vs
1.61
Peñarol Montev…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Defensor Sp…-7
Gap#1
Peñarol Mon…
WR 39% 43 pts
WR 60% 122 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensor Sporti… | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 43 |
| Peñarol Montevi… | 60 | 36 | 14 | 10 | 95 | 49 | 122 |
Defensor Sport…
10.0%
| Jul 27 | Defenso… v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Jul 19 | Defenso… v River P… | 0-1 |
| Jul 14 | Defenso… v Fenix | 1-2 |
| Jul 07 | Defenso… v Wandere… | 1-1 |
| Jun 22 | Defenso… v Racing … | 0-1 |
| Jun 15 | Defenso… v Progreso | 1-1 |
| May 22 | Defenso… v Atletic… | 2-2 |
| May 12 | Defenso… v Progreso | 1-4 |
| Apr 28 | Defenso… v Wandere… | 2-2 |
| Apr 10 | Defenso… v River P… | 2-1 |
Peñarol Montev…
12.0%
| Oct 19 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-0 |
| Sep 30 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 0-0 |
| Aug 04 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 1-1 |
| Jul 28 | Peñarol… v Danubio | 2-0 |
| Jul 27 | Peñarol… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Jul 21 | Peñarol… v Fenix | 2-0 |
| Jul 21 | Peñarol… v Cerrito | 0-1 |
| Jul 14 | Peñarol… v River P… | 1-3 |
| Jul 13 | Peñarol… v Rampla … | 3-2 |
| Jul 06 | Peñarol… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jul 27, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Defensor Spor… |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Defensor Spor… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.