Primera División - Clausura · Dec 04, 2023 23:30
Club Nacional
PWR 62
Defensor Sporting
PWR 45
Club Nacional
PWR 62
1 - 0
FT
Defensor Sporting
PWR 45
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Club Nacional to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
POINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Below minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense71
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack34
Defense63
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
Club Nacional Form
WWDLL
STABLE
Defensor Sport… Form
LLWDW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS62%
Under 2.533%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Defensor Sp… Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.71
Club Nacionalvs
1.08
Defensor Sport…Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Club Nacion…+6
Gap#8
Defensor Sp…
WR 54% 71 pts
WR 39% 43 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 63 | 31 | 71 |
| Defensor Sporti… | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 43 |
Club Nacional
10.0%
| Nov 30 | Club Na… v La Luz | 0-1 |
| Nov 26 | Club Na… v Rangers… | 3-1 |
| Nov 20 | Club Na… v Fenix | 1-1 |
| Nov 16 | Club Na… v Danubio | 1-3 |
| Oct 23 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 1-3 |
| Oct 19 | Club Na… v Boston … | 2-0 |
| Aug 26 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 2-2 |
| Jul 22 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 1-0 |
| Jun 17 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 4-0 |
| Mar 18 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
Defensor Sport…
10.0%
| Nov 30 | Defenso… v River P… | 0-1 |
| Nov 25 | Defenso… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Nov 20 | Defenso… v Boston … | 2-0 |
| Nov 15 | Defenso… v Cerrito | 1-1 |
| Aug 25 | Defenso… v Wandere… | 3-0 |
| Jun 18 | Defenso… v Wandere… | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Defenso… v Wandere… | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Defenso… v Bray Wa… | 2-2 |
| Nov 03 | Defenso… v Progreso | 3-1 |
| Oct 26 | Defenso… v Progreso | 1-1 |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.