Copa Uruguay · Dec 06, 2024 23:30

Club Nacional
PWR 71
2 - 2
FT

Defensor Sporting
PWR 57
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack96
Defense65
Goals/G2.8
Conc/G1.0
Attack48
Defense68
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Club Nacional Form WDWWW
STABLE
Defensor Sport… Form DLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS18%
Under 2.543%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Defensor Sp… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.55
Club Nacional
vs
0.20
Defensor Sport…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Club Nacion…
-3
Gap
#1
Defensor Sp…
WR 50% 7 pts WR 55% 21 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Club Nacional42111147
Defensor Sporti…11632151021
Club Nacional 18.0%
Dec 01 Club Na… v Boston … 3-1
Nov 28 Club Na… v Danubio 0-0
Nov 23 Club Na… v Atletic… 4-0
Nov 16 Club Na… v Deporti… 5-2
Nov 13 Club Na… v Fenix 0-6
Nov 08 Club Na… v Racing … 0-2
Nov 02 Club Na… v Cerrito 2-0
Oct 29 Club Na… v Plaza C… 4-0
Oct 13 Club Na… v Cerro L… 0-1
Sep 29 Club Na… v Progreso 0-3
Defensor Sport… 10.0%
Nov 30 Defenso… v Miramar 0-0
Nov 27 Defenso… v Cerro L… 3-0
Nov 22 Defenso… v Boston … 0-1
Nov 17 Defenso… v Peñarol… 2-0
Nov 14 Defenso… v Progreso 3-0
Nov 10 Defenso… v Fenix 1-0
Nov 08 Defenso… v Cerrito 0-0
Nov 04 Defenso… v Wandere… 1-1
Oct 24 Defenso… v Racing … 1-0
Oct 21 Defenso… v Peñarol… 2-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Dec 04, 2023 Club Nacional 1-0 Defensor Spor…
Key Factors
Club Nacional in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.