Copa Uruguay · Dec 06, 2024 23:30

Club Nacional
PWR 71

Defensor Sporting
PWR 57

Club Nacional
PWR 71
2 - 2
FT

Defensor Sporting
PWR 57
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (18%)
2-0 (15%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
0-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack96
Defense65
Goals/G2.8
Conc/G1.0
Attack48
Defense68
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Club Nacional Form
WDWWW
STABLE
Defensor Sport… Form
DLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS18%
Under 2.543%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Defensor Sp… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.55
Club Nacionalvs
0.20
Defensor Sport…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Club Nacion…-3
Gap#1
Defensor Sp…
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 55% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 |
| Defensor Sporti… | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 21 |
Club Nacional
18.0%
| Dec 01 | Club Na… v Boston … | 3-1 |
| Nov 28 | Club Na… v Danubio | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Club Na… v Atletic… | 4-0 |
| Nov 16 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 5-2 |
| Nov 13 | Club Na… v Fenix | 0-6 |
| Nov 08 | Club Na… v Racing … | 0-2 |
| Nov 02 | Club Na… v Cerrito | 2-0 |
| Oct 29 | Club Na… v Plaza C… | 4-0 |
| Oct 13 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 0-1 |
| Sep 29 | Club Na… v Progreso | 0-3 |
Defensor Sport…
10.0%
| Nov 30 | Defenso… v Miramar | 0-0 |
| Nov 27 | Defenso… v Cerro L… | 3-0 |
| Nov 22 | Defenso… v Boston … | 0-1 |
| Nov 17 | Defenso… v Peñarol… | 2-0 |
| Nov 14 | Defenso… v Progreso | 3-0 |
| Nov 10 | Defenso… v Fenix | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Defenso… v Cerrito | 0-0 |
| Nov 04 | Defenso… v Wandere… | 1-1 |
| Oct 24 | Defenso… v Racing … | 1-0 |
| Oct 21 | Defenso… v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 04, 2023 | Club Nacional | 1-0 | Defensor Spor… |
Key Factors
Club Nacional in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.