Copa Uruguay · Feb 06, 2024 20:00
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 63
Club Nacional
PWR 71
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 63
2 - 1
FT
Club Nacional
PWR 71
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Peñarol Montevideo to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%)
2-0 (19%)
0-0 (16%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense55
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack96
Defense65
Goals/G2.8
Conc/G1.0
Peñarol Montev… Form
WWLWL
STABLE
Club Nacional Form
DWWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS20%
Under 2.572%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Peñarol Montev…vs
0.30
Club NacionalDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Peñarol Mon…+2
Gap#4
Club Nacion…
WR 71% 15 pts
WR 50% 7 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol Montevi… | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| Club Nacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 |
Peñarol Montev…
12.0%
| Feb 05 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Peñarol… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Dec 16 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 2-0 |
| Dec 09 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 0-1 |
| Dec 06 | Peñarol… v Rangers… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Peñarol… v River P… | 2-1 |
| Dec 03 | Peñarol… v Deporti… | 0-2 |
| Dec 02 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-0 |
Club Nacional
16.0%
| Dec 07 | Club Na… v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Dec 04 | Club Na… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Club Na… v La Luz | 0-1 |
| Nov 26 | Club Na… v Rangers… | 3-1 |
| Nov 20 | Club Na… v Fenix | 1-1 |
| Nov 16 | Club Na… v Danubio | 1-3 |
| Oct 23 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 1-3 |
| Oct 19 | Club Na… v Boston … | 2-0 |
| Aug 26 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 2-2 |
| Jul 22 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 1-0 |
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
Club Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.