AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Oct 20, 2024

Universitario

Home
VS
00:30

ADT

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Universitario Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
ADT Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%) S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) CS68+M80 (75.0%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 94%
Market 50%
Combined: 69% Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 16 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Universitario Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
ADT Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Universitario Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 Universit… vs Comercian… 0-2
May 25 Universit… vs Cultural … 4-0
May 03 Universit… vs ADT 2-0
Aug 16 Universit… vs ADT 2-0
Mar 19 Universit… vs ADT 3-1
Aug 21 Universit… vs ADT 1-1
Apr 05 Universit… vs ADT 2-1
ADT Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 ADT vs Alianza A… 0-1
Sep 23 ADT vs César Val… 0-0
Jul 27 ADT vs Cultural … 2-1
May 26 ADT vs Sport Boys 1-0
May 03 ADT vs Universit… 2-0
Feb 11 ADT vs Cultural … 2-0
Aug 16 ADT vs Universit… 2-0
Aug 12 ADT vs Sport Boys 1-1
Mar 19 ADT vs Universit… 3-1
Mar 10 ADT vs Sport Boys 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Universitario in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 03, 2024 ADT 2 - 0 Universitario Primera Divisi…
Aug 16, 2023 ADT 2 - 0 Universitario Primera Divisi…
Mar 19, 2023 Universitario 3 - 1 ADT Primera Divisi…
Aug 21, 2022 ADT 1 - 1 Universitario Primera Divisi…
Apr 05, 2022 Universitario 2 - 1 ADT Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

MASTER: Universitario to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 16
Universitario Power 0
ADT Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Universitario Position

+16

Position Gap

18

ADT Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.