AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Supercopa de Ecuador Feb 02, 2025

LDU Quito

Home
VS
00:00

El Nacional

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
LDU Quito Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
El Nacional Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.17 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
LDU Quito Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
El Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
LDU Quito Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 14 LDU Quito vs Independi… 1-0
Dec 07 LDU Quito vs Independi… 3-0
Dec 01 LDU Quito vs Deportivo… 5-0
Nov 24 LDU Quito vs Universid… 2-4
Nov 09 LDU Quito vs Independi… 2-1
Nov 03 LDU Quito vs Emelec 0-1
Oct 26 LDU Quito vs Mushuc Ru… 1-1
Oct 19 LDU Quito vs Tecnico U… 1-2
Oct 06 LDU Quito vs Orense SC 2-0
Oct 02 LDU Quito vs El Nacion… 0-0
El Nacional Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 01 El Nacion… vs Tecnico U… 2-1
Nov 27 El Nacion… vs Independi… 0-1
Nov 24 El Nacion… vs Mushuc Ru… 2-2
Nov 10 El Nacion… vs Libertad … 1-4
Nov 03 El Nacion… vs Independi… 2-0
Oct 31 El Nacion… vs Mushuc Ru… 2-0
Oct 27 El Nacion… vs Orense SC 0-1
Oct 23 El Nacion… vs Mushuc Ru… 1-2
Oct 20 El Nacion… vs Delfín SC 1-1
Oct 02 El Nacion… vs LDU Quito 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • LDU Quito in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 02, 2024 LDU Quito 0 - 0 El Nacional Copa Ecuador
Final Verdict

STANDARD: LDU Quito to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
LDU Quito Power 0
El Nacional Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.