Predictions Match Details
A-League · Apr 12, 2025 05:00

Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT

Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Wellington Pho… Form WDDLL
STABLE
Melbourne Vict… Form WLWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.532%
BTTS39%
Under 2.568%
Wellington … Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Wellington Pho…
vs
0.89
Melbourne Vict…
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Wellington …
-6
Gap
#5
Melbourne V…
WR 33% 19 pts WR 33% 23 pts
Wellington Pho… 8.0%
Apr 06 Welling… v Newcast… 1-2
Mar 29 Welling… v Western… 2-2
Mar 16 Welling… v Sydney 1-1
Feb 28 Welling… v Melbour… 0-1
Feb 22 Welling… v Auckland 6-1
Feb 14 Welling… v Melbour… 1-0
Feb 06 Welling… v Brisban… 1-1
Jan 25 Welling… v Central… 0-0
Jan 20 Welling… v Macarth… 1-2
Jan 15 Welling… v Sydney 0-0
Melbourne Vict… 12.0%
Mar 29 Melbour… v Adelaid… 5-3
Mar 15 Melbour… v Western… 4-2
Mar 08 Melbour… v Central… 3-0
Mar 01 Melbour… v Brisban… 1-1
Feb 22 Melbour… v Melbour… 2-2
Feb 14 Melbour… v Welling… 1-0
Feb 01 Melbour… v Perth G… 0-2
Jan 24 Melbour… v Sydney 2-0
Jan 18 Melbour… v Adelaid… 3-2
Jan 04 Melbour… v Western… 2-2
Head-to-Head (9)
Feb 14, 2025 Melbourne Vic… 1-0 Wellington Ph…
Nov 24, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-0 Melbourne Vic…
May 18, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-2 Melbourne Vic…
May 12, 2024 Melbourne Vic… 0-0 Wellington Ph…
Apr 12, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-0 Melbourne Vic…
Jan 19, 2024 Wellington Ph… 1-1 Melbourne Vic…
Nov 10, 2023 Melbourne Vic… 1-1 Wellington Ph…
Apr 01, 2023 Wellington Ph… 1-2 Melbourne Vic…
Feb 03, 2023 Melbourne Vic… 3-1 Wellington Ph…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.