A-League · May 25, 2024 09:45
Central Coast Mariners
PWR 35
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
Central Coast Mariners
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (11%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Central Coast … Form
DWWWW
STABLE
Melbourne Vict… Form
WDDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.537%
BTTS31%
Under 2.563%
Central Coa… Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Central Coast …vs
0.48
Melbourne Vict…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings40%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Central Coa…-5
Gap#5
Melbourne V…
WR 25% 19 pts
WR 33% 23 pts
Central Coast …
18.0%
| May 18 | Central… v Sydney | 0-0 |
| May 10 | Central… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| May 01 | Central… v Adelaid… | 2-0 |
| Apr 27 | Central… v Newcast… | 1-3 |
| Apr 13 | Central… v Western… | 0-2 |
| Apr 06 | Central… v Welling… | 2-1 |
| Apr 02 | Central… v Melbour… | 2-1 |
| Mar 30 | Central… v Sydney | 2-0 |
| Mar 10 | Central… v Macarth… | 0-3 |
| Feb 25 | Central… v Melbour… | 0-1 |
Melbourne Vict…
10.0%
| May 18 | Melbour… v Welling… | 1-2 |
| May 12 | Melbour… v Welling… | 0-0 |
| May 05 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Melbour… v Western… | 3-4 |
| Apr 20 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 0-0 |
| Apr 12 | Melbour… v Welling… | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 2-1 |
| Mar 31 | Melbour… v Perth G… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Melbour… v Western… | 2-2 |
| Mar 09 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 25, 2024 | Melbourne Vic… | 0-1 | Central Coast… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Central Coast… | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Central Coast… | 2-2 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 2-0 | Central Coast… |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Central Coast… | 2-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Mar 09, 2022 | Central Coast… | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Melbourne Vic… | 1-0 | Central Coast… |
Key Factors
Central Coast Mariners in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.