A-League · Apr 12, 2024 07:00
Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Wellington Pho… Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Melbourne Vict… Form
WWDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS42%
Under 2.555%
Wellington … Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Wellington Pho…vs
0.71
Melbourne Vict…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Wellington …-6
Gap#5
Melbourne V…
WR 33% 19 pts
WR 33% 23 pts
Wellington Pho…
12.0%
| Apr 06 | Welling… v Central… | 2-1 |
| Mar 30 | Welling… v Brisban… | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Welling… v Sydney | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Welling… v Melbour… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Welling… v Adelaid… | 3-2 |
| Feb 18 | Welling… v Macarth… | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Welling… v Central… | 0-0 |
| Feb 02 | Welling… v Brisban… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Welling… v Newcast… | 1-2 |
| Jan 19 | Welling… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
Melbourne Vict…
14.0%
| Apr 06 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 2-1 |
| Mar 31 | Melbour… v Perth G… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Melbour… v Western… | 2-2 |
| Mar 09 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 3-2 |
| Feb 25 | Melbour… v Central… | 0-1 |
| Feb 17 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | Melbour… v Sydney | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Melbour… v Welling… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jan 19, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 1-1 | Wellington Ph… |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Wellington Ph… | 1-2 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Feb 03, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 3-1 | Wellington Ph… |
Key Factors
Wellington Phoenix in strong form (3W in last 5)
Melbourne Victory in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.