AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Mar 12, 2024

Melbourne City

Home
VS
08:00

Western Sydney Wanderers

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Melbourne City Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Western Sydney Wanderers Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.72 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.4 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Melbourne City Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 1-0
Mar 01 Melbourne… vs Macarthur… 2-0
Feb 24 Melbourne… vs Sydney 1-1
Feb 17 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 0-0
Feb 10 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 5-1
Feb 02 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 4-2
Jan 25 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Jan 21 Melbourne… vs Central C… 2-1
Jan 12 Melbourne… vs Western S… 0-1
Dec 28 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 8-1
Western Sydney Wanderers Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Western S… vs Sydney 1-4
Feb 24 Western S… vs Adelaide … 1-2
Feb 18 Western S… vs Central C… 1-0
Feb 11 Western S… vs Newcastle… 3-3
Feb 04 Western S… vs Macarthur… 4-3
Jan 20 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 1-2
Jan 12 Western S… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Jan 06 Western S… vs Central C… 0-1
Jan 01 Western S… vs Macarthur… 3-1
Dec 15 Western S… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Western Sydney Wanderers struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 12, 2024 Melbourne City 0 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Apr 28, 2023 Melbourne City 3 - 2 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Jan 15, 2023 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 1 Melbourne City A-League
Feb 11, 2022 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 3 Melbourne City A-League
Jan 09, 2022 Melbourne City 3 - 3 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Melbourne City to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne City Power 0
Western Sydney Wanderers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Melbourne City Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Western Sydney Wanderers Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.